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Tristan Nitot sur les standards du Web, les navigateurs et la technologie

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mardi 19 juillet 2011

Mozilla is changing

Mozilla is changing, as everybody has noticed. It's not change for the sake of change, but the whole environment is changing. Here are a list of things that have changed over the past few years, from the top of my head, in no particular order:

  • Competition in the browser space is now really strong, with 3 browsers with more than 20% market share.
  • Microsoft releases a browser every year now (sounds crazy when you think about it!). Every version is getting better at supporting Web standards (Yay!)
  • Google marketing budgets for Chrome are much larger than Mozilla's annual revenue.
  • Open Web technologies are moving forward faster than ever, under the "HTML5" name (which includes all the related technologies, from the DOM to the numerous new APIs and CSS evolutions).
  • JavaScript is now really fast.
  • Mobile is everywhere. It's actually the new frontier. This year, the PC market will be smaller than mobile (in terms of units sold).
  • Tablets are taking off as a market.
  • In the mobile space, not all platforms enable the user to choose what Web browser to use. This trend may also be coming to the PC world with Chrome OS, which only runs Chrome.
  • The notion of App Stores has been widely accepted by the public. The upcoming version of OS X, Lion, will be sold via the Mac App Store, without physical media.
  • The general public is now becoming aware of online privacy issues, but it's still something that needs to be addressed.
  • "Cloud Computing" is so common that it's now a household word.
  • Social Networks are so important now that many pundits say that Google may fail for not being social enough (then Google Plus changed it all).
  • Hardware is changing too. Not just the form factor (from PC to tablets and smartphones), but the processors themselves, with ARM becoming a very strong contender and multiple cores becoming the norm.

I'm sure I'm forgetting many things when describing the changes happening around Mozilla (please leave a comment below if you think I forgot something significant). Anyway, we're far from the days when IE had a monopoly, while the Web technologies where stagnating, everybody on the Web was developing for IE6 and the PC was the center of the IT world.

Basically, everything around us (Mozilla) is changing: the landscape is changing. The battlefield is growing. We need to change, to adapt.

The good news is that we've started changing already in a significant way, for example with the Rapid Release Process. The not-so-good news is that change is uncomfortable, for two reasons:

  1. it takes some time to get adjusted to the new situation, for some people more than others.
  2. we're going to make mistakes along the way (I know for a fact we've made a couple already).

We're going to fix these mistakes as much as we can, just like we're going to get used to do things in a different way. We'll have hard decisions to make. We'll have to revisit some of these decisions if they're really bad. It's not going to be all easy and fun, but the history of Mozilla has not been a walk in the park either.[1]

So change is taking place because it has to: in such a changing environment, we need to demonstrate leadership, take initiatives, or we'll become obsolete.

Although there are things that will not change. At least two things come to my mind:

  1. Why we[2] pursue the Mozilla mission as described in the The Mozilla Manifesto.
  2. How we do it: within a community, in an Open way, around Open standards, using Open source and Free software.

Some details[3] on the how part will change, or have already changed. The Rapid Release Process comes to mind, but while it's a significant change, it does not touch our principles. It certainly impacts our community, both for Add-ons developers and Enterprise users, and we're working on addressing these issues. As Mozilla evolves, we'll keep on making mistakes, because we're going to places we've never been before. It's OK: we need to learn how to take risks, make mistakes and learn from them. We also need to learn to over-communicate, as communication becomes even more important as we change. It's already happening in the add-ons world[4] and we've just announced the Mozilla Enterprise User Working Group.

So change is happening because it has to and it's uncomfortable for many of us. Maybe too uncomfortable for a few of us. We'll see a handful of people leaving the Mozilla project. It has happened before, and it was unpleasant[5]. I just don't think we should stop evolving because we're scared that people may leave.

Now as long as the course of the project is in line with our goals and values - like it is right now - you can expect me to be here, committed and working hard. I'm sure I can count on you for this too.

Notes

[1] Remember when all Netscape employees were let go in July 2003? Remember when Mozilla had decided to bet everything on Firefox and Thunderbird instead of the Mozilla Suite? I was there and I do remember, and I have no regrets. I do have scars from back then, though.

[2] the Mozilla project as a whole including paid staff, volunteers of all kinds, partners, add-on developers and the numerous enthusiasts around the world.

[3] as opposed to principles.

[4] See the add-on compatibility report and Jorge's blog post.

[5] Remember JWZ and MPT? I do. People come and go, and that's a fact of life.

mercredi 22 juin 2011

Back from Bilbao

Raise your hand if you like the Open Web! @ Nonick Conference, Bilbao, Spain

Raise your hand if you like the Open Web! Nonick crowd cheering for the Open Web, taken from the stage

Last Friday, I gave a talk at the Nonick Conference in Bilbao, Basque Country, Spain. I've put the slides on Slideshare.net: [The Open Web approach |http://www.slideshare.net/nitot/the-open-web-approach|en]. I hope to have the audio and/or the video to publish soon, if the organizers can provide me with the files.

I encourage you to view the slides, but here is what I discussed:

  • Cross-platform development (Windows/Mac/Linux) is hard, but Mobile development makes things even harder
  • The Open Web can be a solution especially since HTML5 and related technologies enable developers to build much richer applications, with video, audio, 3D,
  • I gave demos from Web Of Wonders
  • I discussed how cool it would be to have the benefits of App Stores for the Web (discovery, sense of ownership, monetization), without the negative part (centralization, possible censorship, lack of choice), as communicated a few months ago by Jay Sullivan.

I also gave a couple of TV interviews with the EITB (Basque regional TV and Website):

mercredi 15 juin 2011

Adobe Ditches AIR for Linux

Reminder: as usual, I'm not speaking on behalf of Mozilla here, just expressing my own views.

So it looks like Adobe will no longer be releasing (...) versions of Adobe AIR and the AIR SDK for desktop Linux..

A few questions and remarks come to my mind, which I'd like to share:

  1. Is this going to hurt Linux?
  2. Is this a good thing for Adobe?
  3. Is there a lesson here?

So Is this going to hurt Linux? Well, maybe, but not much. The application ecosystem on Linux is pretty strong, and as Adobe says, "since the release of AIR, we’ve seen only a 0.5% download share for desktop Linux", which tends to show that Linux users are not much interested in AIR at all.

Is this a good thing for Adobe? On one hand, it will enable them to invest more in the Android version of AIR, which is an important market, with enormous potential, Android being a platform that needs more love from Adobe if they want to be able to compete. But on the other hand, this is pretty bad for their cross-platform story. People who have chosen AIR because it enabled them to "write once run anywhere" - recycling the old Java promise - rightfully feel betrayed. AIR is a decent platform, but what made it stand out was the promise of running on all three desktop platforms. And this is now gone.

Is there a lesson here? I guess so. In short: never trust of a proprietary vendor when it comes to running cross-platform, especially when you have a truly open alternative. In this case, the Web. What makes the Web beautiful is the fact that no one owns it. You don't have to make a deal with the VP of Business Development of the Web in order to deploy a large application. You can pick a (modern) browser and switch away from it later on if the vendor you've chosen is taking a path that you don't like. Just make sure it's following Web standards and is Open Source and open to external contributions, so that you can offer patches if needed. Make sure it's extensible, so you can customize it for your needs. You'll see, the Open Web as a platform is making progress daily. It's amazing, really.

You'll have no fees to pay, no contracts to negotiate, just freedom to use and innovate. I know it's a little unsettling at first, but over time it's liberating. So liberating that - once accustomed to freedom - you won't want to go back.

Sunset in Normandy

Free as a bird flying into the sunset in Normandy

mardi 14 juin 2011

Mozilla at the eG8

(I wish I had some time to post this earlier, but vacations got in the way.)

A couple of weeks ago, Mitchell Baker and I have been invited to participate to the eG8 forum, an event which took place in Paris, led by French President Nicolas Sarkozy, known for his "three strikes law" that kicks citizens out of the Internet if they share copyrights content and get caught three times:

The two-day e-G8 gathering was an opportunity for debate and collective reflection on a wide number of key themes involving the Internet. They included support for innovation; future development of the Internet; freedom of networks; protection of personal data from cybercrime; protection of minors; and, more broadly, the practical impact of virtual and digital applications on fields as varied as economic growth, job creation, democracy, government administration, education, news and health.

President Sarkozy takes a question from the crowd during the opening session of the eG8 forum

President Sarkozy takes a question from the crowd during the opening session of the eG8 forum

The speaker line-up was quite impressive, including Eric Schmidt (Chairman, Google) and Mark Zuckerberg (CEO, Facebook) and many other CEOs. The fact is that the event was mostly focused on the economic value of the Internet, and therefore missed what is probably the biggest part of the Internet: users, the civil society. In short: us, the people who make the Internet what it is. While participating to the eG8, I had the impression that the attendees were entrepreneurs looking for business opportunities in an Internet that was perceived as a sea of customers. But Internet users are much more than customers. We're participants. Citizens. Human beings.

Mozilla, along with a handful of participants of the civil society, was here to bring a different perspective, following the 9th and 10th principles of the Mozilla Manifesto:

9 - Commercial involvement in the development of the Internet brings many benefits; a balance between commercial goals and public benefit is critical.

10 - Magnifying the public benefit aspects of the Internet is an important goal, worthy of time, attention and commitment.

Mitchell Baker (Mozilla) at the privacy workshop during the eG8 - Paris

Mitchell Baker (Mozilla) at the privacy workshop during the eG8 - Paris

Mitchell as she participated to a workshop on privacy, has taken the side of the users. The eG8 has also been an opportunity to meet with the press in order to explain what makes Mozilla a special organization, competing on a market against large commercial organizations, while being mission-driven.

Mitchell Baker (Mozilla) being interviewed by OWNI.eu reporters at the eG8 Forum- Paris

Mitchell Baker (Mozilla) being interviewed by OWNI.eu reporters at the eG8 Forum- Paris

Links to other articles, talks and interventions related to civil society at the eG8:

jeudi 6 janvier 2011

Firefox leading in Europe

Top 5 browsers in Europe, according to StatCounter

A recent report by StatCounter says that Firefox is now the leading browser in Europe. As always, market numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt, but it's hard to imagine a better way to start 2011, considering how small Mozilla is compared to its main competitors (Microsoft, Google and Apple). This is the result of the commitment of the Mozilla community and teams over the past decade. Very frankly, if someone told me that a non-profit organization would beat Microsoft at its own game just 5 or 6 years ago, I would have told him to quit smoking funny cigarettes ;-).

It's time to rejoice and have a drink, (after all, the Paris office is in France, so we're always ready to party and have a drink!), but let's not forget a couple of things[1]...

  1. We're now in a market that is more competitive than ever, where 3 players are likely to dominate the others (Firefox being one of them):
    1. Chrome is gaining market share and shipping new versions very quickly, along with a very aggressive marketing campaign
    2. Microsoft is back at work and IE9 is a very serious competitor, especially as it's bundled with Windows (as always).
  2. Mobile is the new frontier, and Mozilla has a card to play here, especially on Android.

In order to succeed on the desktop and the mobile spaces, there is a very simple thing to do: ship a killer version of Firefox 4 soon!

So let's enjoy the fact that we're succeeding more in Europe than we hoped for initially, but let's quickly return back to work and invest all of our energy in making an amazing Firefox 4 both on the desktop and on mobile. This is key for our future!

More reading

Notes

[1] And I'm not even mentioning the fact that there are various sources of market share data, and not all of them give the same results.

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